Igor Korotchenko, National Defense editor-in-chief: You've asked a very definite question to which our Ukrainian guests failed to give a definite answer. Igor Korotchenko, National Defense editor-in-chief Why has Ukraine classified the information on the Kerch Strait incident? Mr. Kovtun claims that everybody does. Not at all, just a couple of days ago a big press-conference was held by a senior official of the FSB naval border patrol. Bringing in facts, figures, he explained in detail what happened. There's only one reason why Ukraine would classify this data. It's just covering the traces. They violated the Russian state border, prepared a provocative act, made those young uniformed Ukrainian guys go like lambs to the slaughter. That's why today Kiev won't benefit from giving the international community all of the documents that would definitely convict Ukraine and Kiev, and Poroshenko personally, of this provocative act. That's why this information has been highly classified.
Unfortunately, nowadays Ukraine is greatly distressed and we can expect all kinds of freak-outs from the Poroshenko regime. Anyway, some surveillance information has been revealed by our colleagues in Donbass. It says that on December 14th, Ukraine might attempt a blitz against the DPR and the LPR. The relevant forces and equipment have been brought up. The Ukrainian group comprises of 12,000 soldiers. By the way, what are the OSCE observers for? Accompanied by dozens of Smerch MLRS units. This weapon is deadly and highly efficient, but unguided, intended to blanket an area and leave only burnt soil. More than 50 Ukrainian tanks have been added. The hammer has been pulled back, ready to fire and to start the invasion. Does Poroshenko need it? Of course, he does.
Let's bring in some official Ukrainian statistics showing the supporters of the military situation in Ukraine. 30% of the Ukrainian population back it, 60% are against it. If we move southwards, the level of support is as low as 14%, with 24% in the southeast. These are those who really support the military situation. They need a provocative military act. Of course, if the Ukrainian tanks and MLRSes rush in, the act of aggression will be obvious. Lies won't work here. Therefore a dreadful provocative act may take place. Poroshenko is known to be creative, but stupidly creative. So, they rely on the White Helmets scenario from Syria. In Mariupol, the SBU subversive groups could blow up a vessel with chemical agents. They would put it down as a chemical attack and provocative by Donbass. Then, Poroshenko would act a savior, the father of his country, who'd order an attack on Donbass. Dear friends, such scenarios are dangerous.
- Let me remind you that 50,000 Mariupol residents would be in the potential impact zone if a chemical warehouse exploded.
- What is also dangerous, is that American advisors have arrived. Indeed, American advisors have been detected. In this respect, Russian authorities, including our embassy in Washington, have already officially asked the American side why are American professionals are training Ukraine's special task force? What's the purpose of it? Again, considering it in the light of the developments in Ukraine, it will allow Poroshenko to extend the military situation under this or that pretext until either the presidential elections in Ukraine are frustrated or he can somehow reverse the momentum or a third figure pops up, we've already mentioned it, of another Petlura who'd come to the forefront of Ukrainian politics.
You may remember that 2-3 weeks ago, I said for the first time that a special unit has been set up in the Security Service of Ukraine to play the religion card. Now we see the activity of this new unit, a department of the SBU, which is already actively working to initiate criminal cases and apply pressure, actually intimidating the Fathers, I mean the priests, who don't back the schism in Ukraine, by contrast encouraging it, engaging the SBU operating forces to support those who back the split who are mostly agents of the Security Service of Ukraine.
This is how things stand, dear Ukrainian political experts. Poroshenko's main motivation now is fear. He's afraid of what will happen to him after the presidential election if he loses, which is highly probable, we'll see Poroshenko arrested by the new president of Ukraine. Suppose Yulia Timoshenko is the president. What will her first decision be? A warrant!
- No, she just goes to Poroshenko's office, but he's already jumped out the window from the first floor and died.
- Or taken poison.
- Right!
- Poison won't work.
- And Timoshenko tries to do CPR on him, mouth-to-mouth, which kills him again!
- Once we see Turchinov and Avakov led by the new head of the SBU, appointed by Timoshenko, go to Poroshenko's office, or wherever he'll try to hide. We'll see live a captivating detective with his arrest. And we'll see here political expert Kovtun who'll solemnly…
- I was deceived! I've always known that Yulia Timoshenko is the best!
- He'll solemnly yell that Poroshenko is the enemy of the Ukrainian people, finally, he's been arrested, long live Ukrainian democracy! It is bound to happen, and Mr. Poroshenko knows in his bones that as soon as three months in the future, somebody may start grazing his skin. He doesn't want to go to prison. At most, he'll flee Ukraine, if needed, and live elsewhere on the millions that he stole.
- I know that Mr. Poroshenko is watching us. Mr. Poroshenko, you have friends in Rostov. In a pinch, you'll share a house with Yanukovich.
- Most importantly, even if Poroshenko runs to the doors of the American embassy, asking for the political asylum, he'll be refused. They'll sacrifice him. Timoshenko will tear him to pieces like a wolf. And we'll see just incredible things. But it's because he doesn't fancy such a fate that a provocative military act is feasible. It's also feasible because of the ultimatum that Pompeo gave Russia for us to decide on the INF treaty within 60 days. The NATO defense ministers council is to be held in Brussels, at the NATO headquarters, right at this time. And to make them vote for the US withdrawal from the ABM treaty and the deployment of American missiles in Europe they need to demonize Russia. And this is the way Poroshenko can do another provocative military act, dragging Russia in retaliatory actions.
- Stoltenberg is actually meeting Poroshenko on Thursday. They have something to discuss.
